Market expects LDP to gain seats enabling continued expansionary policy; yen consolidation with slight bearish bias on persistent fiscal concerns
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Cautiously neutral with growing defensive positioning after DeepSeek disruption and February seasonality concerns tempering January optimism despite positive earnings momentum
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Bullish medium-term with structural central bank support intact and Fed maintaining accommodative bias creating constructive backdrop for continuation toward $5200-5400 despite January profit-taking consolidation
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EUR range-bound near 1.20 as both Fed and ECB signal patience with modest consensus targets of 1.14-1.22 through year-end awaiting fresh catalysts
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Defensive and fearful near-term given violent AI spending concerns selloff, but acknowledging oversold technicals and upcoming March seasonal strength could provide recovery catalyst
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Cautiously bearish expecting structural oversupply and weak Chinese demand to push prices toward $55-58 range over 2026 despite OPEC+ Q1 production freeze providing temporary support
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Most analysts targeting $75-90 consolidation near-term with longer-term forecasts extending to $100-150 by mid-2026 if supply deficit and China restrictions persist though CME intervention creates uncertainty and regulatory overhang
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Copper rallied to record highs on supply concerns with elevated prices expected into 2026 but near-term consolidation likely as market digests extraordinary gains, COMEX inventory surge to 503,000 mt, and China Q4 demand declining 8% YoY
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Neutral to mildly bullish consolidation expected as February 5 BoE narrow 5-4 vote signals approaching end of easing cycle despite persistent inflation while USD weakness provides tailwind offsetting bearish February seasonality
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Small-caps positioned to extend outperformance following historic breakout with superior 17-22% earnings growth and Fed easing supporting continued rotation despite January 29 pause
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Rapidly shifting from bearish expecting continued RBA cuts toward aggressive bullish recognizing inflation-driven hawkish pivot creates unprecedented multi-month support with February 3 hike validating transformation
Weekly Report
Constructive consolidation within structural bull market as extraordinary 2025 gains digest against 2026 balanced forecast, with February seasonal support providing near-term floor before next directional move