The MAD Dash

Every market. Every bias. One page.

★ Market of the Week
Wheat (ZW)
CBOT:ZW1!
BULLISH
$632.00 +3.39%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 650.00
+2.8%
▲ Support 620.00
−1.9%
0
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
0/6 Bullish
Next Catalyst 📅 Aug 12 — USDA August 2026 WASDE Report with updated 2026/27 winter wheat production estimates incorporating final July harvest completion data from drought-affected Southern Plains regions plus initial spring wheat harvest progress from Northern Plains determining whether July 10 production downgrades (1,536M bushels) represent floor or require further downward revision as actual harvest yields materialize from 69% drought-affected areas with only 26% good-to-excellent crop ratings
S&P 500 (ES)
CME:ES1!
NO CALL
$7,620.25 +0.42%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 7,650.00
+0.4%
▲ Support 7,538.00
−1.1%
0
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
0/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 13 — Q2 2026 earnings season begins Monday July 13 with major financials JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup reporting first, testing whether companies can deliver 23.3% earnings growth expectations with record margins against elevated forward PE 20-21x multiples - first major fundamental validation of current valuation premium
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
CME:NQ1!
NO CALL
$30,066.00 +0.32%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 30,077.00
+0.0%
▲ Support 29,742.00
−1.1%
18
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
3/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 28 — July 28-29 FOMC meeting with rate announcement expected Tuesday July 29 at 2:00 PM ET, markets pricing 78% probability of hold at 3.5-3.75% and 22% hike probability per Polymarket and StreetStats, critical for policy trajectory clarity after July 8 minutes revealed internal hawkish debate on inflation concerns
Gold (GC)
COMEX:GC1!
NO CALL
$4,113.70 -0.65%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 4,200.00
+2.1%
▲ Support 4,081.70
−0.8%
8
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
4/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 29 — Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting July 28-29 with statement and Powell press conference critical for assessing whether June Treasury yield shock represents new baseline or temporary spike, market pricing 78% hold at 3.50-3.75% with forward guidance on inflation trajectory key driver for real yield path
Crude Oil (CL)
NYMEX:CL1!
NO CALL
$71.41 -0.93%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 75.00
+5.0%
▲ Support 65.00
−9.0%
0
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
0/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 15 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report following 12-week 40% collapse from $120 to $71.41 and confirmation via July 10 IEA report that crude is now at pre-war pricing levels, providing inventory validation of whether Strait normalization and demand destruction have created sustainable floor or further downside toward $65-68 structural support
EUR/USD (6E)
CME:6E1!
NO CALL
$1.1411 -0.14%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 1.1480
+0.6%
▲ Support 1.1400
−0.1%
8
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
4/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 23 — ECB Governing Council Monetary Policy Meeting and Lagarde Press Conference at 13:45 CET (7:45 AM EDT) - markets pricing 70% probability of 25bp hike to 2.50% representing critical directional catalyst for EUR trajectory after 18-week NO CALL consolidation
Silver (SI)
COMEX:SI1!
BEARISH
$60.17 -3.60%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 62.39
+3.7%
▲ Support 57.51
−4.4%
0
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
0/6 Bearish
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 14 — June CPI release Monday July 14 at 8:30 AM EST representing critical inflation data 48 hours away that will shape Fed July 28-29 FOMC expectations and dollar trajectory, hot reading above 4.0% reinforces higher-for-longer Fed stance sustaining real yields and dollar strength creating headwind for silver, cool reading below 3.5% enables Fed dovish shift weakening dollar and driving recovery, capable of producing 10-15% moves in either direction within 24-48 hours post-release
Russell 2000 (RTY)
CME:RTY1!
BEARISH
$2,994.80 -0.95%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 3,020.00
+0.8%
▲ Support 2,975.00
−0.7%
52
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
2/6 Bearish
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 28 — Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting July 28-29 with statement July 29 critical for resolving policy-data contradiction between catastrophic June NFP miss and current 22% July hike probability per Polymarket, forward guidance decisive for credit-sensitive small-cap trajectory
GBP/USD (6B)
CME:6B1!
NO CALL
$1.3402 -0.05%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 1.3450
+0.4%
▲ Support 1.3300
−0.8%
8
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
3/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 30 — Bank of England July 2026 MPC meeting following June 18 hold at 3.75% on 7-2 vote with two members voting for hike to 4.0%, market pricing extended hold through rest of 2026 per Oxford Economics and HomeOwners Alliance analysis despite UK inflation at 2.8% and services inflation elevated at 3.7%
Copper (HG)
COMEX:HG1!
NO CALL
$6.2800 +0.23%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 6.4000
+1.9%
▲ Support 6.0000
−4.5%
28
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
3/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 29 — FOMC meeting July 28-29 with statement release expected July 29 currently priced at 78% no change, while China July PMI release expected around July 31 represents critical demand validation after June 50.3 tepid reading with new orders contractionary, creating dual catalyst window for directional resolution
USD/JPY (6J)
CME:6J1!
NO CALL
$0.006184 -0.38%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 0.006340
+2.5%
▲ Support 0.006200
+0.3%
18
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
3/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 30 — Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting July 30-31 with rate decision and Governor Ueda press conference - first meeting after June 16 hike to 1.0% will test BoJ's normalization commitment and forward guidance on timing toward 2% neutral rate cited by board member Tamura
30-Year Treasury (ZB)
CBOT:ZB1!
BEARISH
$111.03 -0.50%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 113.00
+1.8%
▲ Support 111.00
−0.0%
32
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
4/6 Bearish
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 28 — FOMC policy decision July 28-29 with statement 2:00 PM July 29 and press conference 2:30 PM; market pricing 78% hold probability maintaining 3.50-3.75% range per Polymarket yet yesterday's June CPI 4.0% acceleration combined with Warsh's June 17 hawkish pivot creates binary catalyst for duration repricing if forward guidance emphasizes inflation persistence over labor market support
AUD/USD (6A)
CME:6A1!
NO CALL
$0.6957 +0.23%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 0.7000
+0.6%
▲ Support 0.6900
−0.8%
15
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
5/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 28 — FOMC July 28-29 Meeting - critical binary catalyst with Fed currently at 3.50-3.75% range and 95% hold probability per CME FedWatch but any hawkish surprise would collapse AUD policy divergence advantage from 60-85bp to sub-50bp triggering further weakness
Soybeans (ZS)
CBOT:ZS1!
NO CALL
$1,181.75 -0.77%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 1,200.00
+1.5%
▲ Support 1,172.00
−0.8%
32
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
3/6 Agree
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 14 — USDA weekly Crop Progress report updating soybean crop condition ratings and development stages during critical July reproductive phase when weather becomes primary yield determinant, plus weekly export sales data confirming whether China demand surge at 472,000 MT represents sustainable follow-through or one-time event
Platinum (PL)
NYMEX:PL1!
BEARISH
$1,629.00 -0.07%
As of Jul 12, 2026 08:30 UTC
Conviction
Live Price
—
—
▼ Resistance 1,750.00
+7.4%
▲ Support 1,540.00
−5.5%
0
DIVERGENCE
Desk
T
F
S
O
I
E
2/6 Bearish
Next Catalyst 📅 Jul 30 — FOMC meeting July 29-30 with potential for continued hawkish language reinforcing higher-for-longer stance after June 16-17 removal of rate cut expectations from forward guidance creating additional binary event risk; any hawkish surprise would intensify real yield pressure on platinum while dovish pivot could trigger short-covering rally from oversold technical conditions
Disclaimer: This dashboard is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Directional bias reflects analytical confidence, not a trading recommendation. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets carry substantial risk of loss. Live prices via Yahoo Finance (delayed ~15 min). Verdict reflects current price vs. report snapshot — not trade outcome.