Core
EUR/USD (6E) — Imminent dual central bank catalyst cluster (FOMC March 17-18, ECB March 18-19)…
EUR/USD consolidation in 1.14-1.17 range through dual central bank meetings with cautious neutral bias awaiting Fed and ECB policy guidance
Extended
Silver (SI) — Federal Reserve FOMC meeting conclusion and Chair Powell press conference at…
Mixed with near-term bearish technical bias—CoinCodex algorithm predicts -7.96% decline to $74.20 by March 21, analysts targeting $75-85 consolidation near-term with longer-term forecasts extending to $90-150 by mid-2026 if supply deficit persists, though FOMC outcome creates wide forecast dispersio
Extended
GBP/USD (6B) — -1.2 between 1.32 support and 1.335 resistance with 5/10 confidence
Mildly bearish consolidation expected with defensive positioning ahead of March 19 BoE meeting as markets price 90% probability of 25bp rate cut to 3.5% following January inflation decline to 3.0%
Extended
Copper (HG) — Conflicting cross-currents between China Caixin PMI surge to 52.1 (5-year high…
Copper consolidating from record highs with elevated prices expected into 2026 but near-term volatility likely as market balances supply deficit fundamentals against China demand uncertainty and risk-off sentiment
Extended
USD/JPY (6J) — Policy stalemate ahead of March 18 FOMC with Fed-BoJ differential unchanged at…
USD/JPY consolidation with slight bearish yen bias on persistent rate differentials; market expecting range-bound behavior ahead of FOMC
Extended
Russell 2000 (RTY) — -0.5 between 2450 support and 2520 resistance with 5/10 confidence
Small-caps under pressure from risk-off dynamics and Fed uncertainty but retaining fundamental appeal from earnings growth once volatility settles
Market Of The Week: ★S&P 500 (ES)★ February CPI release critical for Fed policy trajectory assessment amid dual…
S&P 500 (ES): Market underestimating duration of Iran conflict resolution required and stagflation policy paralysis while overestimating March seasonal pattern reliability given VIX 29.48 panic phase entry and 6791 technical breakdown confirming distribution not accumulation
Core
Gold (GC) — consolidating in high regime
Bullish medium-term with structural central bank support intact and Fed maintaining accommodative bias creating constructive backdrop for continuation toward $5300-5500 despite January profit-taking consolidation
Core
EUR/USD (6E) — consolidating in low regime
EUR consolidation in 1.16-1.18 range through March 19 ECB meeting with cautious neutral bias - 85% of economists expect ECB unchanged at 2.00% while Fed holds at 3.50-3.75%
Core
Crude Oil (CL) — breaking out in extreme regime
Rapidly shifting from bearish structural oversupply to tactically bullish geopolitical premium as March 1-8 Iran war forces repricing; sell-side beginning to acknowledge $100+ possible if Strait remains compromised but maintaining medium-term bearish on oversupply
Core
Nasdaq 100 (NQ) — Continuation of February AI spending concerns ($600-655B 2026 capex) combined…
Cautiously defensive given tariff uncertainty and February AI volatility hangover but acknowledging March seasonal tailwinds and volatility normalization could provide recovery catalyst if external pressures stabilize
Extended
GBP/USD (6B) — Market consensus at 90% probability of March 19 rate cut appears well-priced…
Mildly bearish consolidation expected with defensive positioning ahead of March 19 BoE meeting as markets price 90% probability of 25bp rate cut to 3.5% following February inflation decline to 3.0%