Core
EUR/USD (6E) — Imminent dual central bank catalyst cluster (FOMC March 17-18, ECB March 18-19)…
EUR/USD consolidation in 1.14-1.17 range through dual central bank meetings with cautious neutral bias awaiting Fed and ECB policy guidance
Core
Market Of The Week: ★S&P 500 (ES)★ February CPI release critical for Fed policy trajectory assessment amid dual…
S&P 500 (ES): Market underestimating duration of Iran conflict resolution required and stagflation policy paralysis while overestimating March seasonal pattern reliability given VIX 29.48 panic phase entry and 6791 technical breakdown confirming distribution not accumulation
Core
Gold (GC) — consolidating in high regime
Bullish medium-term with structural central bank support intact and Fed maintaining accommodative bias creating constructive backdrop for continuation toward $5300-5500 despite January profit-taking consolidation
Core
EUR/USD (6E) — consolidating in low regime
EUR consolidation in 1.16-1.18 range through March 19 ECB meeting with cautious neutral bias - 85% of economists expect ECB unchanged at 2.00% while Fed holds at 3.50-3.75%
Core
Crude Oil (CL) — breaking out in extreme regime
Rapidly shifting from bearish structural oversupply to tactically bullish geopolitical premium as March 1-8 Iran war forces repricing; sell-side beginning to acknowledge $100+ possible if Strait remains compromised but maintaining medium-term bearish on oversupply
Core
Nasdaq 100 (NQ) — Continuation of February AI spending concerns ($600-655B 2026 capex) combined…
Cautiously defensive given tariff uncertainty and February AI volatility hangover but acknowledging March seasonal tailwinds and volatility normalization could provide recovery catalyst if external pressures stabilize
Market Of The Week: ★Crude Oil (CL)★ EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report following Iran strike escalation and market…
Cautiously shifting from bearish to neutral-tactical bullish as March 1 Iran strike catalyst forces reassessment of geopolitical risk premium dismissal pattern
Core
EUR/USD (6E) — ECB Governing Council Rate Decision and Lagarde Press Conference - first major…
EUR consolidation in 1.17-1.19 range through March with cautious neutral bias - 85% of economists expect ECB unchanged through 2026 while Fed holds at 3.50-3.75%
Core
S&P 500 (ES) — -0.8 between 6800 support and 6950 resistance with 5/10 confidence
Cautiously neutral awaiting March 17-18 FOMC catalyst with 10-week consolidation pattern reflecting institutional indecision between seasonal optimism and Fed hawkish reality
Core
Nasdaq 100 (NQ) — consolidating in high regime
Cautiously constructive on March seasonality providing recovery catalyst from February weakness but vigilant for continued AI spending ROI scrutiny and Fed policy trajectory uncertainty
Core
Gold (GC) — Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting decision with market assessing continuation of…
Bullish medium-term with structural central bank support intact and Fed maintaining accommodative bias creating constructive backdrop for continuation toward $5500-5626 despite January profit-taking consolidation
Core
S&P 500 (ES) — Market may be underestimating duration of technology sector digestion phase…
Cautiously neutral to slightly bullish entering March seasonality with DeepSeek concerns gradually fading but elevated valuations and Fed hawkishness creating balanced risk-reward