Crude Oil (CL) — Ceasefire extension developments creating regime uncertainty as Iran announces…
Tactically bearish on ceasefire-driven geopolitical premium collapse but acknowledging fragility with April 22 expiration creating binary risk; structural oversupply forecasts (EIA $88/b Q4, Goldman $87 Q2, IEA 1.9 mb/d surplus) imply modest downside from current $84.36 once Hormuz fully normalizes,