Soybeans COT & Institutional Positioning — Smart Money Analysis
Soybeans institutional positioning: COT data, sentiment analysis and smart money flow assessment.
commodities
Copper COT & Institutional Positioning — Smart Money Analysis
Copper institutional positioning: COT data, sentiment analysis and smart money flow assessment.
Silver Key Levels This Week — Support, Resistance & Confluence Zones
Silver key levels breakdown: support zones, resistance zones, confluence and price structure.
Core
Gold (GC) — Post-FOMC digestion: The Fed's unanimous 25bp rate hike on Sep 16 to…
Split between structural bulls (central bank buying, seasonality, institutional year-end targets $4,500-$6,000) and tactical bears (hawkish Fed, 5%+ yields, technical downtrend below 200-day MA) — with no clear prevailing direction after gold rallied through the Sep 16 rate hike
Core
Crude Oil (CL) — Trump signals potential Iran war endgame (CNBC Sep 17) — 'hopefully we are…
Market divided and uncertain — Polymarket shows 100% probability of WTI below $95 for September settlement, but the binary risk of Hormuz peace vs renewed escalation keeps conviction thin; the -4.64% weekly decline reflects market pricing in the first credible de-escalation signal since June
Extended
Copper (HG) — 1.8 between 6.5 support and 6.7 resistance with 7/10 confidence
Copper trading near all-time nominal highs supported by structural supply deficit and El Niño production disruptions, but consolidating after the Fed's 25bp rate hike and tariff uncertainty with COT de-risking from extreme levels and LME stocks rising modestly
Extended
Silver (SI) — FOMC September 15-16 delivered the 25bp rate hike the market had priced at 80%…
Market consensus is cautiously constructive post-FOMC hike — the rate increase was fully priced, and silver's recovery to $66.56 supports the 'sell the rumour, buy the fact' narrative, with CoinCodex algorithm projecting $70.71 by Sep 26 and GoldSilver emphasizing that institutional positioning at t
Full Desk
Platinum (PL) — Post-FOMC digestion after the September 16, 2026 rate hike to 3.75-4.00% has…
Market stabilising after September 16 FOMC rate hike and WPIC surplus revision from 297koz deficit to 265koz surplus, consolidating in $1,761-$1,825 range with no clear directional catalyst ahead of September 23 PMI data and the next WPIC Quarterly on November 18
Full Desk
Soybeans (ZS) — -2.5 between 1280 support and 1320.5 resistance with 6/10 confidence
Market split between demand bulls citing 1 million tonnes of Chinese buying this week ahead of presidential meeting, and positioning bears warning that extreme 98.7th percentile speculative net longs are vulnerable to forced liquidation as harvest accelerates ahead of schedule and WASDE bearish surp
Full Desk
Wheat (ZW) — Resolving after a MISSED call last week (-1.76%) with Thesis Health Score of…
Market consolidating near yearly highs after the Black Sea-driven rally and subsequent profit-taking, with structural supply disruption providing a bullish floor but truce talk speculation, USD strength, and extreme long positioning unwind capping upside, creating a 692-729 consolidation range until
Wheat Key Levels This Week — Support, Resistance & Confluence Zones
Wheat key levels breakdown: support zones, resistance zones, confluence and price structure.
Soybeans Forecast This Week — Outlook, Drivers & Key Levels
This week's Soybeans outlook: key drivers, volatility context, risk-opportunity assessment and the week ahead.