Extended
USD/JPY (6J) — Policy stalemate ahead of March 18 FOMC with Fed-BoJ differential unchanged at…
USD/JPY consolidation with slight bearish yen bias on persistent rate differentials; market expecting range-bound behavior ahead of FOMC
Latest
Extended
Russell 2000 (RTY) — -0.5 between 2450 support and 2520 resistance with 5/10 confidence
Small-caps under pressure from risk-off dynamics and Fed uncertainty but retaining fundamental appeal from earnings growth once volatility settles
Full Desk
Wheat (ZW) — consolidating in high regime
Cautiously neutral to bearish following March WASDE confirmation of ample supplies with rally viewed as short-covering event within structural bear market - consensus expects mean reversion toward 575-590 once weather premium fully dissipates
Full Desk
Platinum (PL) — WPIC Platinum Quarterly Q1 2026 report expected to provide updated…
Market digesting WPIC March 4 deficit revision with skepticism as price action prioritizes technical breakdown and profit-taking over structural scarcity narrative
Full Desk
30-Year Treasury (ZB) — FOMC policy decision March 18-19 at 2:00 PM with Powell press conference at…
Market pricing 92% hold at March 18-19 FOMC with only one cut expected for all of 2026; bonds consolidating 112-118 range awaiting FOMC clarity on terminal rate trajectory
Full Desk
Soybeans (ZS) — Fundamental divergence from technical structure as March WASDE report shows…
Mixed with technical bulls focused on momentum and spec fund positioning while fundamental bears cite WASDE supply increases and Brazilian pricing advantages
Full Desk
AUD/USD (6A) — Market appears to be under-appreciating binary volatility risk around March 17…
Market consensus rapidly shifted from bearish expecting RBA cuts to constructive bullish recognizing inflation-driven hawkish floor with 78% probability now pricing March 17 hike but positioning suggests uncertainty remains
Weekly Review
Mon-T Weekly Review — w/e 14 Mar 2026
Ten from fifteen, the S&P bearish call lands, and the Iran war turns crude into a one-way street while wheat gets winterkilled by reality.
Market Of The Week: ★S&P 500 (ES)★ February CPI release critical for Fed policy trajectory assessment amid dual…
S&P 500 (ES): Market underestimating duration of Iran conflict resolution required and stagflation policy paralysis while overestimating March seasonal pattern reliability given VIX 29.48 panic phase entry and 6791 technical breakdown confirming distribution not accumulation
Core
Gold (GC) — consolidating in high regime
Bullish medium-term with structural central bank support intact and Fed maintaining accommodative bias creating constructive backdrop for continuation toward $5300-5500 despite January profit-taking consolidation
Core
EUR/USD (6E) — consolidating in low regime
EUR consolidation in 1.16-1.18 range through March 19 ECB meeting with cautious neutral bias - 85% of economists expect ECB unchanged at 2.00% while Fed holds at 3.50-3.75%
Core
Crude Oil (CL) — breaking out in extreme regime
Rapidly shifting from bearish structural oversupply to tactically bullish geopolitical premium as March 1-8 Iran war forces repricing; sell-side beginning to acknowledge $100+ possible if Strait remains compromised but maintaining medium-term bearish on oversupply