Crude Oil (CL) — Market may be overweighting ceasefire durability (only 3 ships transiting…
Tactically confused with market split between ceasefire optimists expecting mean reversion to $85-90 and geopolitical hawks expecting collapse back to $110-115; structural oversupply consensus (EIA $88 Q4, IEA 1.9 mb/d surplus) implies modest downside from $95 current but ceasefire binary risk preve
